Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 01:00 PM
Coastal Rush 4–2 Alabama FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 30% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 30% home, 21% draw, 48% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Coastal Rush | Alabama FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-1-1 | 10-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W W | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Germantown Legends | 5–0 vs FC Alliance TN |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Tennessee SC | 2–4 at Coastal Rush |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.01 | +1.41 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.46 | -0.30 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 4–2 (home for Coastal Rush)
Common opponents: FC Alliance TN — Coastal Rush 2–0, 4–1; Alabama FC 5–0, 4–0. Chattanooga Red Wolves SC — Coastal Rush 2–2, 3–2; Alabama FC 4–1, 3–1. Mississippi Rush United — Coastal Rush 3–1; Alabama FC 2–0, 2–1. Lobos Rush — Coastal Rush 1–0; Alabama FC 3–0. Germantown Legends — Coastal Rush 7–0; Alabama FC 3–0. Tennessee SC — Coastal Rush 0–3; Alabama FC 0–1. Tennessee United SC — Coastal Rush 4–3; Alabama FC 1–0.
What's at stake
| Coastal Rush | Alabama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 8 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 14% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 2.4 |
How the results connect
107 chains
22 favour Coastal Rush, 69 favour Alabama FC, 16 even; average margin -1.2 goals toward Coastal Rush.
- +2Coastal Rush beat Alabama FC 4–2
- 0Coastal Rush beat Tennessee United SC 4–3 → Tennessee United SC lost to Alabama FC 0–1
- 0Coastal Rush beat Mississippi Rush United 3–1 → Mississippi Rush United lost to Alabama FC 0–2
- -1Coastal Rush beat Chattanooga Red Wolves SC 3–2 → Chattanooga Red Wolves SC lost to Alabama FC 1–3
- -1Coastal Rush beat FC Alliance TN 4–1 → FC Alliance TN lost to Alabama FC 0–4
- +1Coastal Rush beat Mississippi Rush United 3–1 → Mississippi Rush United lost to Alabama FC 1–2
Full picture: Coastal Rush · Alabama FC · Mid-America BU16 standings