Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Lobos Rush 0–1 FC Alliance TN
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 30% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 47% home, 23% draw, 30% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Lobos Rush | FC Alliance TN |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-3-2 | 8-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W D L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs Mississippi Rush United | 6–0 vs Chattanooga Red Wolves SC |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Germantown Legends | 0–4 vs Tennessee SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.71 | +1.10 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -0.15 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 0–1 (home for Lobos Rush)
Common opponents: Louisiana Fire SC — Lobos Rush 3–0; FC Alliance TN 4–1. Mississippi Rush United — Lobos Rush 5–0; FC Alliance TN 4–0. Tennessee SC — Lobos Rush 1–1; FC Alliance TN 0–4. Tennessee United SC — Lobos Rush 2–0; FC Alliance TN 5–3. Germantown Legends — Lobos Rush 0–1; FC Alliance TN 5–0. Coastal Rush — Lobos Rush 0–0; FC Alliance TN 4–3, 2–4. Alabama FC — Lobos Rush 2–0; FC Alliance TN 0–1, 4–6. Chattanooga Red Wolves SC — Lobos Rush 2–2; FC Alliance TN 5–1, 6–0.
What's at stake
| Lobos Rush | FC Alliance TN | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 3rd |
| Games left | 9 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 38% | 87% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 5% |
| Average finish | 4.7 | 3.3 |
How the results connect
95 chains
41 favour Lobos Rush, 42 favour FC Alliance TN, 12 even; average margin -0.2 goals toward Lobos Rush.
- -1Lobos Rush lost to FC Alliance TN 0–1
- 0Lobos Rush beat Tennessee United SC 2–0 → Tennessee United SC lost to FC Alliance TN 3–5
- 0Lobos Rush beat Louisiana Fire SC 3–0 → Louisiana Fire SC lost to FC Alliance TN 1–4
- -1Lobos Rush drew with Coastal Rush 0–0 → Coastal Rush lost to FC Alliance TN 3–4
- +1Lobos Rush beat Mississippi Rush United 5–0 → Mississippi Rush United lost to FC Alliance TN 0–4
- +2Lobos Rush drew with Coastal Rush 0–0 → Coastal Rush beat FC Alliance TN 4–2
Full picture: Lobos Rush · FC Alliance TN · Mid-America BU15 standings