Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 09:00 AM
FC Alliance TN 2–4 Coastal Rush
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 31% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 52% home, 18% draw, 31% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | FC Alliance TN | Coastal Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-4 | 6-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | L W L W D |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Chattanooga Red Wolves SC | 5–0 vs Chattanooga Red Wolves SC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs Tennessee SC | 1–4 at Tennessee SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.10 | +0.62 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.15 | -0.04 |
Already met this season: Aug 22 4–3 (away for FC Alliance TN); Sep 12 2–4 (home for FC Alliance TN)
Common opponents: Alabama FC — FC Alliance TN 0–1, 4–6; Coastal Rush 1–2. Chattanooga Red Wolves SC — FC Alliance TN 5–1, 6–0; Coastal Rush 5–0, 3–1. Mississippi Rush United — FC Alliance TN 4–0; Coastal Rush 2–1. Tennessee SC — FC Alliance TN 0–4; Coastal Rush 1–4. Tennessee United SC — FC Alliance TN 5–3; Coastal Rush 2–1. Germantown Legends — FC Alliance TN 5–0; Coastal Rush 3–0. Lobos Rush — FC Alliance TN 1–0; Coastal Rush 0–0.
What's at stake
| FC Alliance TN | Coastal Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 6 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 86% | 49% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 1% |
| Average finish | 3.3 | 4.5 |
How the results connect
90 chains
52 favour FC Alliance TN, 28 favour Coastal Rush, 10 even; average margin +0.9 goals toward FC Alliance TN.
- +1FC Alliance TN beat Coastal Rush 4–3
- -2FC Alliance TN lost to Coastal Rush 2–4
- 0FC Alliance TN lost to Alabama FC 0–1 → Alabama FC beat Coastal Rush 2–1
- +1FC Alliance TN beat Lobos Rush 1–0 → Lobos Rush drew with Coastal Rush 0–0
- +1FC Alliance TN beat Chattanooga Red Wolves SC 6–0 → Chattanooga Red Wolves SC lost to Coastal Rush 0–5
- +1FC Alliance TN beat Tennessee United SC 5–3 → Tennessee United SC lost to Coastal Rush 1–2
Full picture: FC Alliance TN · Coastal Rush · Mid-America BU15 standings